日內圖
BIAS: 較輕度的修正走勢情況,提示著價格正在構築進一步強勢上行的基礎。
阻力位
1.4572-76
1.4590-95
1.4618
1.4638
支撐位
1.4497-20
1.4472
1.4435-40
1.4402-15
主要原因分析:價格受美聯儲利率決議的影響,出現一些上升走勢,總體有限的下行修正似乎意味著,價格已步入往更高點位運行的軌道。如過程中有任何較簡單,較深度的修正走勢出現的話,我懷疑修正走勢將會在1.4497-20區間止步。因此,潛在的預期展望應是看漲趨勢,所以需要關注看漲反轉信號的出現。價格突破1.4576後應會出現上漲,隨後價格會上行到1.4638高位,或進一步到1.4667。謹慎看待行情發展,我懷疑價格或會從這個更高位區間出現再次修正。
反向分析:價格直接下破1.4472將意味著有進一步下行的風險,最可能的情況是價格仍處於修正階段…因此,持續關注看漲反轉信號的出現。
祝交易順利。
伊恩•科普塞
英倫金融研究部高級顧問
國際貴金屬外匯波浪權威
原文:
UPDATE FOR GBPUSD
INTRADAY CHART
BIAS: From the shallow corrections it suggests that we are building up from a base to see stronger gains
Resistance: 1.4572-76 1.4590-95 1.4618 1.4638
Support: 1.4497-20 1.4472 1.4435-40 1.4402-15
MAIN ANALYSIS: While the Fed provoked some mildly sharp moves here, overall the limited corrections appear to suggest that we are already on our way higher. If there are any initial deeper corrections I suspect they'll stall between 1.4497-20. Thus, the underlying outlook should be bullish and therefore watch for bullish reversal indications. A break back above 1.4576 should see gains that suggest a move back to the 1.4638 high and also 1.4667. Take care as I suspect this may well provoke a correction from this higher area.
COUNTER ANALYSIS: Only a direct break below 1.4472 would risk losses but this would most likely be a correction still… Thus, continue to look for bullish reversal indications.
Good trading
Ian Copsey